Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.182457 0.205673 0.230139 0.257790 0.288114 0.320300 0.356990
2025-05-18 0.155432 0.187410 0.222933 0.265126 0.313671 0.367567 0.431712
2025-05-25 0.131051 0.167789 0.210538 0.263541 0.327050 0.400241 0.490479
2025-06-01 0.112883 0.152657 0.200918 0.263076 0.340232 0.432044 0.548664
2025-06-08 0.098261 0.139836 0.192269 0.262173 0.351730 0.461350 0.604253
2025-06-15 0.089011 0.132629 0.189567 0.267818 0.370856 0.500067 0.672260
2025-06-22 0.079262 0.123545 0.183320 0.267898 0.382198 0.528818 0.728248
2025-06-29 0.070919 0.115424 0.177445 0.267634 0.392493 0.556032 0.782656
2025-07-06 0.063756 0.108187 0.172021 0.267280 0.402166 0.582282 0.836187
2025-07-13 0.058537 0.103263 0.169359 0.270351 0.416301 0.614594 0.898413
2025-07-20 0.055015 0.100566 0.169626 0.277415 0.436048 0.654900 0.972370
2025-07-27 0.050581 0.095946 0.166567 0.279215 0.448084 0.684677 1.032511
2025-08-03 0.047203 0.092871 0.165835 0.284702 0.466084 0.723982 1.107998
2025-08-10 0.044627 0.090894 0.166637 0.292477 0.487673 0.768986 1.192758
2025-08-17 0.040370 0.085537 0.161550 0.290657 0.494609 0.792967 1.248194
2025-08-24 0.036800 0.081030 0.157480 0.290096 0.503247 0.819482 1.307789
2025-08-31 0.033520 0.076704 0.153348 0.289086 0.510965 0.844666 1.365909
2025-09-07 0.031706 0.074991 0.153567 0.295184 0.529970 0.887116 1.450336
2025-09-14 0.029136 0.071503 0.150365 0.295261 0.539221 0.914926 1.513564
2025-09-21 0.026755 0.068135 0.147102 0.294969 0.547723 0.941669 1.575677
2025-09-28 0.024581 0.064955 0.143926 0.294583 0.555925 0.968021 1.637667
2025-10-05 0.023056 0.063007 0.142909 0.297907 0.570326 1.004326 1.715586
2025-10-12 0.022149 0.062336 0.144283 0.305556 0.592208 1.052917 1.813431